Section 1 : Tamil Nadu and social progressivism
In a departure from Maharashtra and Gujarat – Tamil Nadu’s wealth comes not from handing out country’s money to the crony capitalists. In fact, most of Tamil Nadu’s wealth comes Human Resources that was made available for the industries in textile, electronics, software, automotive and agriculture.
These industries are either started by independent businessmen who bootstrapped their own businesses or they are MNC’s that were attracted towards the state by the government and by the people; by the people I mean educated workforce. A good example for the homegrown industrialization is the USD 2 Billion dollar company – Sakthi groups. The educated force is a product of decades of educational reform – including but not limited to the reservation system. This workforce was liberated from their social structures and were mobilized towards the industries that were either homegrown or attracted from foreign lands. Either way – it brought in US dollars in to the Indian economy.
I really have to mention the impact the textile industries had on the semi and unskilled laborers. Conventionally, this mass was locked in a caste based economic dependency – almost comparable to feudalism. The textile industry was a respectable, dependable and an economically viable option for this majority so there was a migration. That is how in two folds, the educational liberation and industrialization of Tamil Nadu made sure the state fared far better than almost all of the country in the post colonization era India. My first objective of this post is to establish that a socially progressive state can be successful. You don’t have to trust me. Nobel laureate Amartya Sen wrote in detail about the success of this pro democratic progressive state – Tamil Nadu.
Section 2 : National failure on capitalistic top down model
Gujarat model is fabrication. Gujarat model is misrepresentation. Sadly, the election also decided the direction of our country. A regressive state that in many ways resemble a Donald Trump era USA where the majority chose a false prophet who is not only incapable and inadequate – a agent of chaos that is only good for the top 1% of the country’s tax evading – black money stashing shit pile. I mean it is no secret that Modi hands out government’s resources for free to Adani and Adani group. But what we have successfully ignored is that Adani’s elder brother is a known black money hoarder. I mean.. I am hoping you are with me. This government makes the working class suffer by removing denominations from circulation overnight, chest thumping the measure as a war against black money, whilst handing out government money to a known black money hoarder. Of course.. the denominations doesn’t affect Adanis because their black money is not in printed denominations in India but it is in Panama. The working class died while waiting for their own fucking money while one of the black money hoarders – Aishwarya Rai – applauds the government’s initiative.
Congratulations, Mr PM. You have gone ahead with a very strong move for your larger vision to wipe out corruption in our country. That’s the larger overview that we as citizens patiently understand and recognise. Change isn’t often comfortable, but everybody will find their way to embrace it if they focus on the larger picture.
The chart shown above didn’t show Tamil Nadu on the legend but the data in the second paragraph shows it. We will get back to the bigger picture in the next paragraph. Reserve Bank of India responded to an RTI that showed how Modi’s India had banks give loans to the big ticket fraudulent borrowers. In fact, the fraudulent loans went up from ~1500 crores to ~23000 crores.
This is a failure in policy towards the economic direction that indian democracy was taking. The departure of the former RBI governor Raghuram Rajan, was a testament to the leadership’s failure in understanding economy. Every bad decision that has been made in Indian economy has happened after Raghu’s departure. I mean.. It is okay if the upper class is failing the country, they have always been. How about the lower class? Well. It seems like the daily wagers are earning 3000 rupees lesser than what they were earning prior to the Modi government.
Section 3: Highlights from China
A friend of mine is traveling in China. I could see the immense wealth the country has generated from what she shares on social media. I mean there is so much advancement – Modi’s online braggade had to forge pictures from China and sell it as Gujarat Model.
Okay. None of this should compute because the whole cornerstone of my argument is that we should vote based on data. So here it is. I spent a couple hours compiling the data I could find from International Monetary Fund and United Nations to develop this interactive bar chart. https://goo.gl/5FDvW1
For those of who can not access the google docs link – here is the non interactive version.
There are a couple obvious inferences you can make right away that goes beyond the bell curve.
1) China’s GDP distribution on top half of its chart is way higher. For a wealthy country, the wealth distribution is super impressive for at least half of its provinces.
2) The top two provinces in China generates the same GDP as entire India.
There are other nuanced inferences to make here.
– Standing first, Maharashtra, is twice as much an economy compared to the second largest economy in India – Tamil Nadu. Whereas the second largest economy in China finishes a close second. In fact, if applied the trend from India, you would have to go to the fifth largest economy in China to find a province that has the same wealth gap that is comparable between Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu. India’s wealth distribution problem is far reaching.
– The top three states and provinces from both of the countries have major ports in them. There is no doubt that industrialization and export contributes towards a stronger economy.
– If tibet is discounted for political reasons and Beijing and Shanghai is discounted because they shouldn’t necessarily classified as a province when comparing with India (Delhi and Goa are not even in the map), Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu places on roughly the 64th and 50th percentile on a combined GDP comparison between China and India. Most important distinction is that the chinese provinces between Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu’s GDP or either landlocked or trade locked between the other competitive asian markets in Taiwan and South Korea. Implications are that there is literally no Chinese province that hasn’t achieved what it could have achieved. Provided access to a port or non competitive neighbor, these provinces would have outperformed India’s top two states.
I do not know enough about Chinese approach towards their success. They are – without doubt – the world’s second largest superpower with second largest GDP. What I do know is that Tamil Nadu has achieved the crown of being the second best economy in the country with arguably zero assistance from the central governments so far. It was in 1964 when Nehru, an outgoing Prime Minister, accelerated his plans towards a Hindi centric India. The long standing pro-dravidian, anti casteist political movement fueled by the protests against the Hindi impositions assumed the power of the state.
“But by refusing Hindi – we are refusing access to the central government’s superior school system and access to central government jobs” – the sympathizers of a gentrified India said. The sad rhetoric is still ringing in their closeted minds as Tamil Nadu continuously placed itself second as the country’s wealthiest state. Kerala, the other southern state that has refused Hindi gentrification places country’s first in literacy rate. All of us speaking Hindi is not an objective that deserves our country’s energy. Our unity is in our diversity. We don’t have to be the same people. We just have to work with each other and respect each other.
I mean.. Allow me for a segue. A.R Rahman kicked off a concert titled “netru indru nalai” couple years ago. A tamil music composer announced a concert and the title is in Tamil. The fans were disappointed that there were too many Tamil songs in the concert. So you guys wanted your money back because a Tamil music composer sang Tamil songs in a concert titled in Tamil? What that really surprises me about this farce is that there were 12 Tamil songs and 16 Hindi songs. So what really happened is, in a Tamil concert announced by a Tamil music composer, ~ 40 percent Tamil music is appalling for the Hindi speaking Indian population? Our national anthem is in Bengali for Krish’s sake.
He who controls the narrative controls the history. He who controls the history controls the future. Unfortunately, our narrative has been hijacked by a Donald Trump-ish hate mascot that we call as our prime minister. A second BJP government headed by Narendra Modi will be the last time I care about India as a country. After that, it is just my language, my family and my friends. As always, I am open for a discussion but please bring facts to the table. That is how we will brace ourselves to wade through the unrelentingly misleading fake news and doctored images.
An Indian, with love.